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October 7, 2016

Time Might Not Be on Bashar al-Assad’s Side

He can win battles, but can he win everything?

Having vowed to retake every inch of his country’s pre-2011 territory, and made clear his disdain for an actual cease-fire, the Syrian president evidently believes he can only benefit from fighting on. After all, opposition forces are suffering from both military defeat and defections to jihadist groups, Islamic State is on the defensive, Russian and Iranian support seems unlimited, and no substantial Western aid is forthcoming for the rebels. Nonetheless, argues Ari Heistein, much is not going in Damascus’ favor:

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